November 28, 2022

MarineCurrents

Current Maritime News | Clean Energy

There will be more than 4,000 LNG-powered ships in the world in 2030

2 min read
LNG-powered ships

Shipping Network News, a few days ago, S&P Global Platts freight analyst Anastasia Zania said that LNG will lead the green transformation of the shipping industry in the next decade, and the proportion of LNG consumption will rise from 4.6% in 2021. 10.7% by 2030, when the number of LNG-powered ships may exceed 4,000.

S&P Platts reports that older ships without scrubbers will be scrapped as scrubber-fitted ships account for a larger share of the ship’s market. The market share of high-sulfur fuel oil is expected to increase from 17.7% to 27% in 2030. At the same time, given the current situation of high oil and gas prices with no viable solution in the near term, orders for ships fitted with scrubbers are also expected to increase in the coming years.

In contrast to high-sulfur fuels, the company expects the market share of very low-sulfur fuels to fall from 45.5% to 38% in 2030, and the share of marine diesel-like distillates to 24% from 31.9%. Among the alternative fuels other than LNG, 40% of ships (mainly ferries and offshore vessels) will be battery hybrids, and LPG will be the main fuel for transport ships.

Anastasia Zania believes that the use of methanol and ammonia will drive the shipping industry to achieve decarbonization goals after 2030, and more product ships, chemical tankers, and container ships will use methanol as marine fuel in the future. Among the new shipbuilding orders, there are 45 ammonia-reserved ships and 24 methanol-fueled ships, which are convenient for the transformation of related fuel power in the future.

At present, all participants in the shipping industry are actively formulating post-pandemic development plans, and taking more into account the strategy of “environmental protection regulations and green transformation”. Under increasing regulation and pressure from container customers, the global merchant fleet is increasingly focusing on alternative fuels and energy-efficient technologies. Clarksons data shows that 425 new buildings will use alternative fuels in 2021, accounting for 33.8% of newbuilding orders, an increase of 103% from 209 in 2020, compared with 46 ships of this type in 2006.

It is reported that about 21% of the existing ships are equipped with energy-saving technologies, and the current mainstream technologies mainly include propeller ducts, Flettner rotors, rudder balls, sails, and air lubrication systems.

Source: eworldship

2030年全球LNG动力船将超过4000艘

航运界网消息,日前,标普普氏能源资讯(S&P Global Platts)货运分析师Anastasia Zania表示,LNG将在未来十年内主导航运业的绿色转型,LNG消耗占比将从2021年的4.6%上升至2030年的10.7%,届时LNG动力船的数量可能超过4000艘。

标普普氏能源资讯报告指出,由于装有脱硫塔的船舶在船舶市场占有更多份额,未安装脱硫塔的老旧船舶将进行报废。预计2030年高硫燃油的市场份额将从17.7%增加至27%。同时,考虑到目前石油和天然气价格高企的情况,近期没有可行的解决方案,安装脱硫塔的船舶订单预计也将在未来几年有所增加。

与高硫燃油相反的是,该公司预计2030年极低硫燃油的市场份额将从45.5%下降至38%,船用柴油类似的馏分油占比将从31.9%下降至24%。在除LNG以外的替代燃料中,40%的船舶(主要是渡轮和近海船舶)将采用电池混合动力,LPG将作为运输船舶的主要燃料。

Anastasia Zania认为甲醇和氨的使用将推动航运业在2030年后实现脱碳目标,未来将有更多的成品船、化学品船及集装箱船以甲醇作为船用燃料。新造船订单中,有45艘氨预留船舶和24艘甲醇燃料船舶,方便日后进行相关燃料动力的改造。

目前,航运业各参与方都在积极制定疫情后的发展规划,并更多地将“环保法规和绿色转型”战略纳入考量。在日益严峻的监管及集装箱客户的压力下,全球商船队不断提高对替代燃料和节能技术的关注度。克拉克森数据显示,2021年使用替代燃料的新造船达425艘,占新造船订单量的33.8%,较2020年的209艘增长了103%,而2006年该类型船舶数量为46艘。

据悉,现有船舶中约21%的船舶安装了节能技术,当前的主流技术主要包括螺旋桨导管、Flettner转子、舵球、风帆和空气润滑系统。

来源:国际船舶网

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